MI-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 19.5% on "MI-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $160 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
▼0.520%
PoliticsVol $160Total volume $9.8KLiquidity $123Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
19.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 3-6%
17.0%
▼4.5
Republican 0-3%
17.0%
▼0.5
Republican 6%+
15.5%
–
Democrat 6-9%
13.3%
–
Republican 3-6%
9.05%
–
Democrat 12-15%
5.10%
–
Democrat 9-12%
4.85%
▲1.1
Democrat 18%+
2.75%
▲0.8
Democrat 15-18%
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 6%+
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.