MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 28.0% on "MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
–28%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $7.4KLiquidity $117Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
28.0%
–
Democrat 55-60%
21.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 50-55%
21.0%
–
Democrat 40-45%
15.2%
▲1.1
Democrat 35-40%
7.20%
–
Democrat 60-65%
6.45%
–
Democrat 0-25%
5.20%
–
Democrat 65%+
3.85%
▼1.9
Democrat 25-35%
3.15%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 60-65%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
