MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 29.0% on "MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲7.029%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $310Liquidity $1.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
29.0%
▲7.0
Democrat 65%+
26.5%
▲6.0
Democrat 45-50%
25.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 35-40%
24.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 25-35%
24.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-25%
24.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 60-65%
23.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 50-55%
23.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 55-60%
22.5%
▼1.0
Republican Wins
16.0%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 65%+
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 25-35%
Democrat 0-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
