Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Benson 9-12%" at 22.0% on "Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Benson 9-12%
▲3.022%
PoliticsVol $2.8KTotal volume $14KLiquidity $128Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Benson 9-12%
22.0%
▲3.0
James 0-3%
18.7%
▲12.3
Benson 6-9%
17.5%
▲1.0
Benson 12-15%
16.5%
▼4.5
Benson 15-18%
8.55%
▲1.1
Benson 3-6%
7.50%
▼3.0
Benson 18%+
4.85%
▼3.5
Benson 0-3%
4.50%
▼0.5
James 3-6%
4.45%
–
James 6%+
2.75%
–

Probability over time

Benson 9-12%
James 0-3%
Benson 6-9%
Benson 12-15%
Benson 15-18%
Benson 3-6%
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.