Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 6-9%" at 17.5% on "Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory". $319 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
18%
PoliticsVol $319Total volume $1.8KLiquidity $77Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
17.5%
Democrat 9-12%
17.0%
1.0
Democrat 3-6%
15.0%
4.5
Democrat 12-15%
15.0%
17.5
Democrat 0-3%
10.5%
Democrat 15-18%
7.50%
3.0
Democrat 18%+
5.60%
3.1
Republican 0-3%
5.50%
1.5
Republican 6%+
2.95%
Republican 3-6%
1.90%
0.9

Probability over time

Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 15-18%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.