Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner

Polymarket traders put "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" at 93.5% on "Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner". $390 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
94%
PoliticsVol $390Total volume $390Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
93.5%
Mike Rogers (R)
7.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.