Michigan Senate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" at 71.5% on "Michigan Senate Election Winner". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $45K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
▼1.072%
PoliticsVol $45KTotal volume $1.4MLiquidity $383KComments 84in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
71.5%
▼1.0
Mike Rogers (R)
29.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.