MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12-15%" at 25.0% on "MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 12-15%
▲4.525%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $2.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12-15%
25.0%
▲4.5
Republican 3-6%
22.5%
▲4.5
Republican 6-9%
20.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
▲9.5
Republican 18%+
18.5%
▲5.5
Republican 0-3%
17.5%
–
Democrat 0-3%
17.0%
▲0.5
Republican 9-12%
16.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 6%+
12.5%
▼0.5
Republican 15-18%
11.5%
▼12.0
Probability over time
Republican 12-15%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 18%+
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
