MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 31.0% on "MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼1.031%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $58Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
31.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 20-25%
29.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 30%+
28.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 5-10%
28.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 15-20%
23.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
23.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-5%
23.0%
▼2.0
Republican Wins
22.0%
▲1.5
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
