MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 28.5% on "MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲0.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $37Liquidity $2.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
28.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-5%
27.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 20-25%
24.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 15-20%
24.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 5-15%
23.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 45%+
23.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 35-40%
22.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 30-35%
22.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 40-45%
21.5%
▲2.0
Republican Wins
6.50%
▼12.5
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-15%
Democrat 45%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
