MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 26.5% on "MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $445 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▲1.027%
PoliticsVol $445Total volume $10KLiquidity $129Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
26.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 25-30%
24.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 35-40%
21.5%
▼3.3
Democrat 20-25%
13.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 40-45%
8.00%
▼1.5
Democrat 15-20%
5.80%
▲2.1
Democrat 45%+
3.55%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.60%
–
Democrat 5-15%
0.40%
–
Republican Wins
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 15-20%
02550751008/259/99/169/239/3010/710/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.