MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-30%" at 31.5% on "MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-30%
▼3.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $199Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-30%
31.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 60%+
30.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 30-35%
30.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 55-60%
29.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 35-40%
26.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 0-20%
25.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 50-55%
25.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 45-50%
25.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 40-45%
25.0%
▼4.5
Republican Wins
5.15%
▲1.8
Probability over time
Democrat 20-30%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 0-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
