MN-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Ilhan Omar (D)" at 98.7% on "MN-05 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Ilhan Omar (D)
–99%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $58KLiquidity $50Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ilhan Omar (D)
98.7%
–
John Nagel (R)
1.45%
–
Probability over time
Ilhan Omar (D)
John Nagel (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
