MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 39.5% on "MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.5%p from yesterday. $90 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▲10.540%
PoliticsVol $90Total volume $16KLiquidity $77Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
39.5%
▲10.5
Democrat 65-70%
20.1%
–
Democrat 50-55%
17.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 75%+
15.2%
▲8.8
Democrat 55-60%
11.5%
▼11.0
Democrat 45-50%
6.15%
▲0.7
Democrat 35-45%
3.70%
▲2.6
Democrat 70-75%
3.10%
▼1.9
Republican Wins
2.60%
▼1.9
Democrat 0-35%
1.00%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 75%+
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
