MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-35%" at 32.5% on "MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-35%
▲1.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $253Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-35%
32.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 75%+
32.0%
–
Democrat 60-65%
30.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 50-55%
30.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 45-50%
29.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 65-70%
26.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 55-60%
25.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 70-75%
24.5%
▼4.5
Republican Wins
6.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 0-35%
Democrat 75%+
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 65-70%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
