MN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 29.0% on "MN-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 9.0%p from yesterday. $415 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼9.029%
PoliticsVol $415Total volume $9.1KLiquidity $64Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
29.0%
▼9.0
Republican 10-15%
26.0%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
25.0%
▲1.5
Republican 20-25%
18.4%
▲2.5
Republican 25-30%
4.90%
▼1.1
Democrat Wins
4.80%
▲0.5
Republican 0-5%
4.65%
–
Republican 30%+
2.10%
▼2.2

Probability over time

Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Democrat Wins
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.