MN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
1.038%
PoliticsVol $188Total volume $188Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
38.0%
1.0
Republican 20-25%
33.0%
4.0
Republican 5-10%
31.5%
5.5
Republican 0-5%
31.5%
5.0
Republican 10-15%
30.5%
7.5
Republican 25-30%
28.0%
7.5
Republican 15-20%
21.5%
1.0
Democrat Wins
7.00%
16.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.