MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 28.0% on "MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $2.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
28.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-18%
27.5%
▼2.0
Republican 21%+
27.0%
▼3.0
Republican 0-3%
26.5%
▼3.0
Republican 9-12%
25.5%
▲1.0
Republican 6-9%
23.5%
–
Democrat 3%+
23.5%
▲7.0
Republican 18-21%
22.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-3%
21.5%
▼3.5
Republican 12-15%
21.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 21%+
Republican 0-3%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
