MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-18%" at 25.5% on "MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. $365 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 15-18%
▲6.526%
PoliticsVol $365Total volume $8.3KLiquidity $121Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 15-18%
25.5%
▲6.5
Republican 6-9%
23.0%
▲3.0
Republican 9-12%
17.0%
▼3.5
Republican 12-15%
14.0%
▼3.0
Republican 3-6%
13.0%
–
Democrat 3%+
8.40%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-3%
7.00%
–
Republican 18-21%
4.60%
▼0.8
Republican 0-3%
2.15%
▼0.5
Republican 21%+
1.85%
▼1.8

Probability over time

Republican 15-18%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 3%+
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.