MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 21.4% on "MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
▲4.021%
PoliticsVol $1.0KTotal volume $17KLiquidity $119Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
21.4%
▲4.0
Democrat 60-65%
20.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 50-55%
16.8%
▼2.0
Democrat 45-50%
12.8%
▼2.9
Democrat 35-45%
12.6%
▲3.1
Democrat 65-70%
5.25%
▼2.3
Democrat 0-35%
4.85%
▲2.6
Democrat 75%+
4.50%
▼2.5
Democrat 70-75%
4.00%
–
Republican Wins
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-45%
Democrat 65-70%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
