MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 26.0% on "MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
▲4.526%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $52Liquidity $9.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
26.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 60-65%
24.0%
▼5.5
Democrat 0-35%
24.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 70-75%
23.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 65-70%
23.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 50-55%
23.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 45-50%
20.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 35-45%
20.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 75%+
15.5%
▼8.0
Republican Wins
1.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 0-35%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
