MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 18%+" at 23.0% on "MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 18%+
▼2.023%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $81Liquidity $3.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 18%+
23.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-3%
21.5%
▼6.0
Republican 15-18%
20.0%
▼9.5
Republican 6-9%
16.0%
▼9.5
Republican 0-3%
15.0%
▼13.5
Republican 3-6%
12.0%
▼17.5
Republican 9-12%
8.00%
▼12.5
Democrat 3-6%
8.00%
▼15.5
Republican 12-15%
6.50%
▼13.0
Democrat 6%+
6.00%
▼12.0
Probability over time
Republican 18%+
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
