MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 20.0% on "MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
▼2.020%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $18KLiquidity $127Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
20.0%
▼2.0
Republican 0-3%
18.0%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
16.5%
–
Republican 6-9%
14.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 3-6%
12.7%
▼4.5
Republican 12-15%
9.55%
▼3.9
Republican 9-12%
6.90%
▲1.1
Republican 18%+
6.25%
▼3.9
Democrat 6%+
4.20%
▼1.5
Republican 15-18%
1.30%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 12-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
