MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 22.9% on "MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.8%p from yesterday. $330 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲7.823%
PoliticsVol $330Total volume $12KLiquidity $131Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
22.9%
▲7.8
Republican 10-15%
20.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
15.5%
▲2.0
Republican 20-25%
14.0%
▲1.0
Republican 25-30%
13.3%
▼2.3
Republican 30%+
9.00%
–
Republican 0-5%
3.60%
▲2.3
Democrat Wins
2.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
