MO-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mark Alford (R)" at 95.6% on "MO-04 House Election Winner". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $4.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mark Alford (R)
▲1.596%
PoliticsVol $4.9KTotal volume $62KLiquidity $88Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mark Alford (R)
95.6%
▲1.5
Jordan Herrera (D)
4.70%
▼0.6
Probability over time
Mark Alford (R)
Jordan Herrera (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
