MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3%+" at 95.5% on "MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory". $3.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 3%+
–96%
PoliticsVol $3.0KTotal volume $63KLiquidity $224Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 3%+
95.5%
–
Republican 0-3%
1.65%
–
Democrat 0-3%
1.00%
–
Republican 12-15%
0.40%
–
Republican 18-21%
0.30%
–
Republican 3-6%
0.25%
–
Republican 21%+
0.10%
–
Republican 15-18%
0.10%
–
Republican 6-9%
0.10%
–
Republican 9-12%
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 3%+
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
