MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 18-21%" at 36.0% on "MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 18-21%
▼1.036%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 18-21%
36.0%
▼1.0
Republican 21%+
35.5%
▲3.5
Republican 9-12%
32.0%
▼3.5
Republican 0-3%
32.0%
▼5.5
Republican 12-15%
30.0%
▼2.0
Republican 3-6%
27.5%
▼0.5
Republican 6-9%
25.5%
▼6.5
Republican 15-18%
24.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 0-3%
24.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 3%+
22.5%
▼4.0
Probability over time
Republican 18-21%
Republican 21%+
Republican 9-12%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
