MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35%+" at 33.5% on "MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35%+
▲6.034%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $189Liquidity $9.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35%+
33.5%
▲6.0
Republican 10-15%
30.5%
▼2.0
Republican 20-25%
29.5%
▼7.5
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
▼8.5
Republican 15-20%
28.5%
▼1.5
Republican 5-10%
24.5%
▼1.5
Republican 0-5%
23.5%
–
Republican 25-30%
22.5%
▼5.0
Democrat Wins
4.50%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Republican 35%+
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
