MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 32.0% on "MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▼0.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $92Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
32.0%
▼0.5
Republican 35-40%
24.1%
–
Republican 45-50%
23.0%
▲2.0
Republican 50-55%
18.0%
▲1.5
Republican 0-20%
5.70%
▼0.9
Republican 55-60%
5.65%
–
Republican 20-30%
4.65%
▲0.7
Republican 30-35%
4.50%
–
Republican 60%+
3.95%
–
Democrat Wins
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 50-55%
Republican 0-20%
Republican 55-60%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
