MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 24.0% on "MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 10.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▼10.024%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $33Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
24.0%
▼10.0
Republican 50-55%
23.5%
▲0.5
Republican 45-50%
23.5%
▼4.5
Republican 20-30%
23.5%
▼9.0
Republican 30-35%
22.5%
▼8.5
Republican 40-45%
20.0%
▼12.0
Republican 0-20%
20.0%
▼8.5
Republican 60%+
19.0%
▼10.0
Republican 55-60%
19.0%
▼13.0
Democrat Wins
9.50%
▼7.5
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 50-55%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 20-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
