Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-18%" at 19.0% on "Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory". $12 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-18%
–19%
PoliticsVol $12Total volume $2.1KLiquidity $96Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-18%
19.0%
–
Republican 12-15%
16.9%
–
Republican 18-21%
13.0%
–
Republican 3-6%
10.5%
–
Republican 9-12%
8.50%
–
Republican 21%+
7.10%
▲0.7
Republican 6-9%
6.50%
▼0.5
Republican 0-3%
4.00%
–
Independent 0-3%
3.00%
–
Independent 3%+
1.45%
▼0.8
Democrat Wins
0.75%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-18%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 21%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
