Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 20.5% on "Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $3.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
▲3.021%
PoliticsVol $3.3KTotal volume $22KLiquidity $176Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
20.5%
▲3.0
Republican 12-15%
17.8%
▼0.7
Republican 6-9%
13.1%
▼6.7
Republican 15-18%
12.0%
▼2.5
Republican 18-21%
9.50%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
9.50%
▲1.5
Republican 21%+
8.10%
–
Independent 0-3%
6.55%
▲2.8
Republican 0-3%
3.30%
–
Independent 3%+
2.25%
–
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
