Moscow air traffic suspended by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 68.5% on "Moscow air traffic suspended by...?". $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–69%
PoliticsVol $3.1KTotal volume $3.1KLiquidity $2.7Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
68.5%
–
November 30
53.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.