MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲3.040%
PoliticsVol $200Total volume $233Liquidity $9.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
39.5%
▲3.0
Republican 0-5%
36.0%
▲5.5
Republican 35-40%
33.5%
▲10.0
Republican 45%+
30.0%
▼8.5
Republican 25-30%
28.5%
▼9.0
Republican 40-45%
28.0%
▼5.5
Republican 15-20%
24.0%
▼5.0
Republican 30-35%
23.5%
▼10.0
Republican 5-15%
23.0%
▼12.0
Democrat Wins
3.15%
▲0.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
