MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 30.0% on "MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $133 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲0.530%
PoliticsVol $133Total volume $13KLiquidity $80Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
30.0%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
25.9%
▼1.9
Republican 15-20%
14.6%
▲0.8
Republican 30-35%
14.5%
▼1.0
Republican 10-15%
9.80%
▲4.5
Republican 0-10%
5.20%
–
Republican 35-40%
5.05%
▼0.5
Republican 40%+
3.85%
–
Democrat Wins
1.15%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
