MS-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Michael Guest (R)" at 98.8% on "MS-03 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Michael Guest (R)
–99%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $63KLiquidity $38Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Michael Guest (R)
98.8%
–
Michael Chiaradio (D)
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Michael Guest (R)
Michael Chiaradio (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
