MT-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Troy Downing (R)" at 95.5% on "MT-02 House Election Winner". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $2.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Troy Downing (R)
▲0.596%
PoliticsVol $2.7KTotal volume $64KLiquidity $83Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Troy Downing (R)
95.5%
▲0.5
Brian Miller (D)
4.50%
–
Probability over time
Troy Downing (R)
Brian Miller (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
