MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 30.0% on "MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲1.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
30.0%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
▲1.0
Republican 10-15%
27.0%
▼3.0
Republican 35-40%
26.5%
▼1.5
Republican 40%+
26.0%
▼5.5
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▼6.0
Democrat Wins
24.9%
▼0.8
Republican 0-10%
24.0%
▼3.0
Republican 20-25%
23.5%
▼4.5
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 40%+
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
