MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 35.1% on "MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.1%p from yesterday. $115 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼1.135%
PoliticsVol $115Total volume $11KLiquidity $107Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
35.1%
▼1.1
Republican 20-25%
26.5%
▲5.0
Republican 25-30%
19.5%
▲1.5
Republican 10-15%
10.1%
–
Republican 40%+
6.70%
–
Republican 30-35%
6.65%
▼2.7
Republican 35-40%
6.10%
–
Republican 0-10%
1.55%
–
Democrat Wins
1.00%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 40%+
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
