Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Polymarket traders put "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?" at 8.3%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
8%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $940KLiquidity $21KComments 45in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
8.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.