National Guard deployed to election sites by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 6.6% on "National Guard deployed to election sites by...?". $7.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–7%
PoliticsVol $7.9KTotal volume $7.9KLiquidity $12Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
6.55%
–
November 30
4.75%
–
November 7
1.25%
–
November 15
1.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.