National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

Polymarket traders put "13+" at 96.5% on "National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?". Down 1.1%p from yesterday. $51 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 28.

Most likely right now
13+
▼1.196%
PoliticsVol $51Total volume $25KLiquidity $47KClosed (Sep 28)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
13+
96.5%
▼1.1
11
1.10%
▼1.1
<10
0.30%
–
12
0.15%
–
10
0.05%
–

Probability over time

13+
11
<10
12
10
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.