NATO downs another Russian drone by...?
Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 69.5% on "NATO downs another Russian drone by...?". $404 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
October 31
–70%
PoliticsVol $404Total volume $404Liquidity $602in 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
69.5%
–
October 15
55.5%
–
September 30
23.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
