NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3-6%" at 23.0% on "NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $547 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 3-6%
▲3.523%
PoliticsVol $547Total volume $9.9KLiquidity $40Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 3-6%
23.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 6-9%
16.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 9-12%
16.0%
▲4.0
Democrat 0-3%
15.5%
▼8.0
Democrat 12%+
10.4%
▼2.3
Republican 3-6%
7.90%
–
Republican 0-3%
7.50%
▼4.5
Republican 12%+
5.40%
–
Republican 6-9%
4.90%
–
Republican 9-12%
4.80%
▼0.6
Probability over time
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 12%+
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
