NC-03 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Greg Murphy (R)" at 81.5% on "NC-03 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Greg Murphy (R)
–82%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $26KLiquidity $66Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Greg Murphy (R)
81.5%
–
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
16.5%
▼1.0

Probability over time

Greg Murphy (R)
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.