NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 21.5% on "NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $690 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
▲2.022%
PoliticsVol $690Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $106Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
21.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 3-6%
20.2%
▲15.8
Republican 6-9%
19.0%
▼3.0
Republican 3-6%
17.5%
▲0.5
Republican 18%+
14.0%
▼3.5
Republican 12-15%
11.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-3%
10.8%
–
Republican 0-3%
10.2%
▼7.0
Republican 15-18%
4.75%
▲0.9
Democrat 6%+
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 18%+
Republican 12-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
