NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 18%+" at 30.0% on "NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 18%+
▲7.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $288Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 18%+
30.0%
▲7.0
Republican 12-15%
30.0%
▼6.0
Republican 6-9%
30.0%
▲3.0
Republican 15-18%
27.5%
▼0.5
Republican 3-6%
27.0%
▲4.0
Republican 0-3%
25.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 3-6%
25.0%
▲1.5
Republican 9-12%
24.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 6%+
7.00%
▼27.5
Democrat 0-3%
5.50%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Republican 18%+
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
