NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12-15%" at 27.0% on "NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 21.0%p from yesterday. $184 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 12-15%
▲21.027%
PoliticsVol $184Total volume $281Liquidity $19Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12-15%
27.0%
▲21.0
Republican 3-6%
26.0%
▲19.0
Republican 18-21%
20.5%
▲8.0
Republican 6-9%
20.5%
▲0.5
Republican 9-12%
20.0%
▼1.0
Republican 21%+
19.0%
▲11.5
Democrat 3%+
17.5%
▲12.0
Republican 0-3%
16.0%
▼2.5
Republican 15-18%
15.5%
▲2.5
Democrat 0-3%
10.5%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Republican 12-15%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 21%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
