NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 22.5% on "NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
▲1.523%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $10.0KLiquidity $97Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
22.5%
▲1.5
Republican 6-9%
15.5%
–
Republican 12-15%
14.0%
▼16.0
Republican 3-6%
11.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 3%+
9.45%
▲7.4
Republican 21%+
5.30%
–
Republican 15-18%
5.00%
–
Democrat 0-3%
4.95%
▲2.1
Republican 0-3%
4.30%
–
Republican 18-21%
4.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 3%+
Republican 21%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
