NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 21.0% on "NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $521 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
–21%
PoliticsVol $521Total volume $6.5KLiquidity $140Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
21.0%
–
Republican 12-15%
16.5%
▼2.0
Republican 6-9%
16.5%
–
Republican 15-18%
16.0%
▲4.0
Republican 3-6%
13.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 3-6%
8.65%
▼4.7
Republican 0-3%
7.15%
–
Republican 18%+
6.25%
▲3.5
Democrat 0-3%
3.40%
–
Democrat 6%+
1.00%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
