NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 34.0% on "NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.7%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
3.734%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $81Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
34.0%
3.7
Republican 12-15%
32.0%
3.0
Republican 18%+
31.5%
4.5
Republican 15-18%
30.0%
4.0
Republican 0-3%
29.5%
Democrat 6%+
29.3%
27.0
Democrat 3-6%
28.0%
4.5
Republican 6-9%
27.5%
2.5
Republican 3-6%
27.5%
6.5
Republican 9-12%
24.5%
8.0

Probability over time

Democrat 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 18%+
Republican 15-18%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 6%+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.