NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 18%+" at 30.0% on "NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 18%+
▲7.530%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $16KLiquidity $81Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 18%+
30.0%
▲7.5
Republican 6-9%
25.0%
▲12.0
Republican 15-18%
24.3%
▼6.3
Republican 12-15%
18.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 0-3%
8.35%
▲7.5
Republican 0-3%
4.35%
▼0.7
Republican 9-12%
4.30%
▼2.1
Republican 3-6%
3.70%
▲1.2
Democrat 6%+
0.75%
▲0.5
Democrat 3-6%
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Republican 18%+
Republican 6-9%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 12-15%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
