NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 22.0% on "NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $220 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▲2.522%
PoliticsVol $220Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $105Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
22.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 0-3%
22.0%
▲8.0
Republican 15-18%
21.1%
▲15.4
Republican 3-6%
18.5%
▼1.0
Republican 9-12%
16.0%
▼1.0
Republican 6-9%
11.0%
▼8.0
Democrat 6%+
4.05%
▼1.7
Democrat 3-6%
2.65%
–
Republican 12-15%
2.55%
▼1.5
Republican 18%+
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
