NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 12%+" at 32.5% on "NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 12%+
▼4.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $215Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 12%+
32.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 9-12%
27.5%
▲4.5
Democrat 3-6%
27.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 0-3%
26.5%
–
Democrat 6-9%
24.5%
▼8.0
Republican 3-6%
21.5%
▲13.0
Republican 12%+
12.0%
▲0.5
Republican 0-3%
12.0%
▼1.5
Republican 6-9%
9.50%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
