NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 21.2% on "NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.2%p from yesterday. $249 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▲1.221%
PoliticsVol $249Total volume $9.6KLiquidity $96Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
21.2%
▲1.2
Democrat 0-3%
19.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 3-6%
18.0%
▲0.5
Republican 0-3%
15.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 9-12%
11.0%
▲5.0
Republican 9-12%
10.3%
▲4.5
Democrat 12%+
6.00%
▼3.5
Republican 6-9%
5.90%
▲1.5
Democrat 6-9%
4.95%
–
Republican 12%+
1.15%
–

Probability over time

Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Republican 9-12%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.