NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 47.5% on "NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 11.7%p from yesterday. $198 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
▲11.748%
PoliticsVol $198Total volume $12KLiquidity $98Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
47.5%
▲11.7
Democrat 50-55%
28.3%
▼0.6
Democrat 45-50%
12.5%
–
Democrat 25-35%
9.55%
▼2.6
Democrat 60-65%
9.25%
▼1.5
Democrat 65%+
5.50%
–
Democrat 35-40%
5.05%
▲4.1
Democrat 40-45%
2.85%
–
Democrat 0-25%
2.55%
▲1.9
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 25-35%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
