NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 25%+" at 29.5% on "NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 25%+
3.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $10Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25%+
29.5%
3.0
Republican 10-15%
28.5%
4.0
Republican 15-20%
27.5%
1.5
Republican 0-5%
27.5%
4.0
Republican 5-10%
25.0%
1.0
Republican 20-25%
24.0%
Democrat 0-5%
23.0%
14.5
Democrat 5%+
22.5%
5.0

Probability over time

Republican 25%+
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.