NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 31.0% on "NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $320 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
▲9.531%
PoliticsVol $320Total volume $16KLiquidity $75Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
31.0%
▲9.5
Republican 10-15%
30.0%
▼0.5
Republican 5-10%
24.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 0-5%
6.40%
▼7.0
Republican 20-25%
5.15%
–
Republican 25%+
4.40%
▲0.9
Democrat 5%+
4.20%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
4.00%
–

Probability over time

Republican 0-5%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25%+
02550751008/259/119/189/2510/210/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.