NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 27.5% on "NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $275 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▲1.528%
PoliticsVol $275Total volume $6.2KLiquidity $58Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
27.5%
▲1.5
Republican 10-15%
22.5%
▼1.0
Republican 0-5%
19.5%
▲0.5
Republican 15-20%
17.5%
▼9.0
Republican 25%+
4.85%
–
Republican 20-25%
4.40%
▼0.9
Democrat 0-5%
3.90%
▲0.5
Democrat 5%+
1.40%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25%+
Republican 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
