NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 18-21%" at 33.0% on "NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 18-21%
▲4.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $162Liquidity $2.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 18-21%
33.0%
▲4.5
Republican 21%+
31.0%
▲3.5
Republican 15-18%
25.5%
▼2.5
Republican 9-12%
25.5%
▼9.0
Republican 6-9%
24.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 3%+
24.0%
▲4.0
Republican 0-3%
23.5%
▲0.5
Republican 12-15%
22.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-3%
20.0%
▲1.0
Republican 3-6%
18.0%
▼9.5
Probability over time
Republican 18-21%
Republican 21%+
Republican 15-18%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 3%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
