NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 19.1% on "NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.3%p from yesterday. $188 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▲5.319%
PoliticsVol $188Total volume $11KLiquidity $117Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
19.1%
▲5.3
Republican 9-12%
16.0%
▼2.5
Republican 6-9%
15.5%
–
Republican 12-15%
14.5%
▼6.5
Republican 0-3%
14.1%
▲2.0
Democrat 0-3%
6.90%
–
Democrat 3%+
5.55%
–
Republican 15-18%
4.05%
–
Republican 21%+
3.30%
▼3.2
Republican 18-21%
2.40%
▲0.7
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
