NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 34.5% on "NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲5.035%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $199Liquidity $9.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
34.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 20-25%
30.0%
–
Democrat 10-15%
29.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 25%+
28.0%
–
Democrat 0-5%
27.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 5-10%
27.0%
▲3.0
Republican 0-5%
8.00%
▼0.5
Republican 5%+
7.00%
▼9.5
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
