NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 25.5% on "NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory". $282 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
–26%
PoliticsVol $282Total volume $10KLiquidity $121Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
25.5%
–
Democrat 5-10%
20.5%
▲7.5
Democrat 20-25%
20.0%
▼13.5
Democrat 15-20%
16.5%
–
Democrat 25%+
9.50%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-5%
3.15%
–
Republican 0-5%
0.80%
–
Republican 5%+
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
