NE-03 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Adrian Smith (R)" at 98.2% on "NE-03 House Election Winner". Up 1.3%p from yesterday. $30 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Adrian Smith (R)
▲1.398%
PoliticsVol $30Total volume $16KLiquidity $37Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Adrian Smith (R)
98.2%
▲1.3
Becky Stille (D)
1.50%
–

Probability over time

Adrian Smith (R)
Becky Stille (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.