NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 31.0% on "NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $669 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▼2.531%
PoliticsVol $669Total volume $17KLiquidity $127Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
31.0%
▼2.5
Republican 35-40%
22.0%
▲2.5
Republican 50-55%
15.8%
▲1.3
Republican 55-60%
15.0%
–
Republican 45-50%
12.0%
▼1.0
Republican 0-25%
8.50%
▼1.0
Republican 25-35%
7.85%
▲5.2
Republican 65%+
1.80%
▼0.9
Republican 60-65%
1.50%
–
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 50-55%
Republican 55-60%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 0-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
