New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Pappas 40%+" at 6.5% on "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory". $62 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 8.

Most likely right now
Pappas 40%+
7%
PoliticsVol $62Total volume $62Liquidity $679in 7 days (Sep 8)
Current probability

Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pappas 40%+
6.50%
Manzur 5%+
6.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.