New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Ayotte 12-15%" at 25.5% on "New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory". $90 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Ayotte 12-15%
–26%
PoliticsVol $90Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $126Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ayotte 12-15%
25.5%
–
Ayotte 9-12%
18.0%
–
Ayotte 18%+
16.3%
▲12.7
Ayotte 3-6%
15.5%
▲7.0
Ayotte 15-18%
13.3%
–
Ayotte 6-9%
13.0%
–
Warmington 0-3%
5.05%
–
Ayotte 0-3%
4.05%
▼2.3
Warmington 3-6%
3.20%
–
Warmington 6%+
2.50%
–
Probability over time
Ayotte 12-15%
Ayotte 9-12%
Ayotte 18%+
Ayotte 3-6%
Ayotte 15-18%
Ayotte 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
