New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 9-12%" at 18.5% on "New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 9-12%
–19%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.4KLiquidity $83Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 9-12%
18.5%
–
Democrat 6-9%
15.5%
▲6.0
Democrat 12-15%
15.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 3-6%
12.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 15-18%
11.5%
▼25.0
Democrat 0-3%
7.50%
▲2.5
Republican 0-3%
6.50%
▲2.5
Democrat 18%+
4.25%
–
Republican 3-6%
1.35%
▼0.9
Republican 6%+
1.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
