New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 21%+" at 64.5% on "New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 10.5%p from yesterday. $274 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 21%+
▼10.565%
PoliticsVol $274Total volume $4.7KLiquidity $80Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 21%+
64.5%
▼10.5
Democrat 18-21%
23.5%
▲10.0
Democrat 15-18%
6.50%
▲2.0
Democrat 12-15%
2.25%
▲0.7
Republican 3%+
1.05%
▼0.8
Democrat 9-12%
1.05%
–
Republican 0-3%
0.65%
–
Democrat 6-9%
0.60%
–
Democrat 0-3%
0.55%
–
Democrat 3-6%
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 21%+
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 12-15%
Republican 3%+
Democrat 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
