New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 21%+" at 57.5% on "New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 21%+
–57%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $102Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 21%+
57.5%
–
Democrat 18-21%
15.5%
–
Democrat 9-12%
10.1%
▲5.3
Democrat 3-6%
10.1%
▲6.5
Democrat 6-9%
8.60%
▲3.1
Republican 3%+
8.20%
▲7.8
Democrat 0-3%
7.40%
▲3.2
Democrat 12-15%
6.20%
–
Democrat 15-18%
4.80%
▼3.5
Republican 0-3%
3.30%
▲2.5
Probability over time
Democrat 21%+
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 3%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
